The Veteran Presence 2005 Mrs. Urbina Memorial MLB Preview: NL Central

 

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

Previous year’s record: 105-57

1st, NL Central: Won LDS, won LCS, crushed in World Series

 

 

KEY ADDITIONS

 

KEY LOSSES

ACE

Mark Mulder

C

Mike Matheny

C

Einar Diaz

2B

Tony Womack

2B

Mark Grudzielanek

SS

Edgar Renteria

SS

David Eckstein

DH!

Marlon Anderson

LOOGY

Mike Myers

SP

Woody Williams

 

 

RP

Steve Kline

 

 

SP

Danny Haren

 

 

RP

Kiko Calero

 

 

 

 

RANDOM DIAMOND NOTE

The Cardinals are thinking of sending Chris Carpenter down to AA just to show their minor leaguers that being uninhibited or touching your skull is not acceptable behavior, whether in ballparks or in kennels, and management, led by Walt Jocketty, will not tolerate it from players, the team teacher or even FredBird, so that the recent bowling pin incident, or something like it, can never happen again.

 

PROJECTED LINEUP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C

Yadier Molina

SP

Mark Mulder

1B

Albert Pujols

SP

Jeff Suppan

2B

Mark Grudzielanek

SP

Chris Carpenter

SS

David Eckstein

SP

Jason Marquis

3B

Scott Rolen

SP

First Available White Guy

LF

Reggie Sanders

MR

Julian Tavarez

CF

Jim Edmonds

MR

Ray King

RF

Larry Walker

MR

Cal Eldred

 

 

CL

Jason Isringhausen

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ED:  We spent the majority of last season pooping all over the Cards pitching staff and somehow their general crappiness kept from biting the Cards in the butt until October.  Oh sure, Joe Buck wanted you all to believe that this staff was the ’71 Orioles but...C’mon.  You, dear reader, should be able to fill in the Joe Buck jokes by now.  Sure, he’s the bastion of morality, the beacon of class, the sultan of sophistication amongst sports announcers, but let’s face it: he’s a big friggin’ idiot.  This is, after all, a man who sits in an announcing booth with Tim McCarver, Chris Collinsworth and Troy Aikman and is able to stand out as the biggest moron on a Fox network.  And that should say everything you need to know about Joe Buck. I mean, even Bill O’Reilly laughs and points at him.  Think about that.

 

BB: Well, in all fairness – Bill O’Reilly points and laughs at Democrats, too. And it’s impossible to be a bigger loser than a Democrat. But Joe Buck, yeah, he inspires more hate than most. The thing is – Buck tries to have it both ways, and that just doesn’t work. You can’t be the smug, condescending moral authority of the booth, swallowing Tim McCarver’s last spurts of senility about how no one plays like the ’64 Cardinals to confirm them for the masses and then go film Budweiser commercials and interview your co-stars for a wonderful pseudo-event. Never mind his condescending “You might not be aware of (‘Carlos Beltran, Johan Santana, Lance Berkman’) remarks all last season when anyone who didn’t play for the Red Sox or Yankees came up to bat or pitched. You want to know why people don’t know who they are, Joey B? Because FOX doesn’t show their games.

 

PR: Why bother telling us. THE CAST OF THE OC IS IN THE CROWD!!!! THERE IS WILMER VALDERRAMA! HE SLEEPS WITH YOUNG, HOT ACTRESSES!!! BEN AFFLECK IS HERE! HE IS STILL A LOSER!!!

 

ED:  And that Robin Williams!  Boy is he a card!  His act has NEVER gotten old!

 

BB: Come on – I’d rather see the Robin Williams shtick for eternity than have to sit through the Robin Williams: Serious Actor nonsense ever again. Actually – I think I want Robin Williams to die and David Cross to play Robin Williams for the rest of his life.

 

ED:  I’m OK with that.  Who would play Billy Crystal then?

 

ED:  So, uhh…Yeah.  The Cards did nothing that I would consider problem-solving – or even any semblance of attempting to improve the team.  Oh sure, Gammons has been drooling all over the Cards this spring.  But then Gammons is at the point of drooling all over everything.  Of course, all that drool makes Joe Buck’s work on LaRussa’s li’l mullet all the easier, I guess.  Rama-Lama-Ding-Dong, indeed!  Yeah, you know you wanted that visual.  You did. Just admit it. 

 

BB: I really hope that no one’s first sexual experience – male or female – involves Joe Buck and Tony LaRussa. There is also a smallball/getting to first base/small balls joke that would be forced and unfunny and…I will make it later this season.

 

PR: SECOND HALF PREVIEW!

 

ED:  Is that when we’re gonna have this out now?

 

ED:  All right, all right.  We’ve gotta save some Joe Buck jokes for the rest of the year. Onto the team. Supposedly, the big thing that will put the Cards over the top is the Mark Mulder trade. And, superficially, I can see Mulder having a nice year.  Sure, he goes from a more extreme pitchers park to a more neutral pitchers park, but he also gets to face the pitcher spot 3-4 times a game, some pretty anemic offenses in his division, will have better run support and a better outfield defense than he did in Oakland.  That’s not to say that anyone’s giving him the Cy this year.  He’s still a question mark, health-wise, his walk rate really rose last year, he pulled down a nice big workload and then there’s the fact that the Cardinal middle infield defense is now completely stinky-poo-poo. Obviously, those trouble signs make him a perfect Cardinal. 

 

BB: On the bright side, working with Dave Duncan does seemingly help veteran starters who have issues with their mechanics and/or command. On the dull side, LaRussa and Duncan fall so in love with their mechanics that they start munching on their arms until they get Alan Benes’d.

 

ED:  Anyway, the Cards staff wasn’t ever particularly good last season.  Sure, there were much worse and the Cards cast o’ cripples did somehow manage to pull down a ton of innings despite – or because of – the morphine drips that replaced the post-game ice-downs.  But this was never a staff that you could look at as a force in October – just ask the Red Sox.  And the lessons we learned from the Sox exposing that Cards in the WS were that – the Cards got really lucky for the majority of the season; the Cardinals’ offense was outstanding; the Cardinals defense bailed out the rag-tag staff far too much; and the NL is a really bad hitting league.  The order of importance to those things is mostly insignificant.  Mostly. 

 

BB: Yes – because the most important part is that the Cardinals were a team of freaking albinos.

 

ED:  Reggie Sanders is an albino?

 

ED:  What is significant about all that is that the Cards then spent the off-season trying to solve their Rubik’s Cube by…adding an oft-injured pitcher with a top-flight reputation who had a bad second half; jettisoning some of their pitching flotsam and letting one of the best SS’s in the game get away.  On the bright side, no one else in their division really did a whole lot to jump ahead of the Cards at this point so…Hey! Stasis!  And a loss in a five game playoff series is better than being the Pirates, right?  Right?  No, I don’t know about that either.  I mean, Lloyd McClendon is WAY sexier than a 60 year old man in a jet-black mullet.  WAYYYYYY SEXIER.

 

BB: Well Ed, I am presuming you see lots of 60 year old men with jet black mullets in the Midwest as opposed to crazy black men. Me – personally – I try to never leave my apartment. That both keeps me safe and the handsomest man alive.

 

PR: Why do anything anyway when you can just let the manager of your closest rival slowly destroy their team from the inside?

 

ED:  Are we talking about LaRussa or Dusty here?

 

ED:  The rest of the rotation is the same type of crud that that Cards hauled out there last year.  Jason Marquis may be the best bet to be a compliment to Mulder, but that’s nothing to get too excited about, really.  Otherwise…the corpse of Matt Morris whenever/if ever he returns? Rick Ankiel? Rick FrigginAnkiel?  Oh, man.

 

BB: OH! They’re moving Rick Ankiel to the pe…whoops. I can’t say that Rick Ankiel should’ve remained a pitcher. That is up to him. I can say that the odds of him being a successful major-league hitter are…microscopic. People are pimping his .286/.357/.638 line in rookie ball at age 22 as a sign that he can hit. Those are nice numbers, but that’s hitting against 19 and 20 year olds and isn’t a particularly impressive performance at that age and level. He also hit .200/.269/.400 at AA at 24. He has no hitting profile whatsoever. I feel bad for him in a way, but pitching is the only way he’ll ever become a major leaguer. Even if it’s just as a LOOGY.

 

PR: Well see, the DEMONS! caught up to Ankiel. Whether they were the same DEMONS! That plagued Dexter Manley… I can only hope. AnyhooLaRussa admittedly ruined Ankiel as a pitcher so now he is trying to make it as an OFer. This will be fun.

 

ED:  I thought Ankiel’s DEMONS! were/are the same as what will destroy Lindsay Lohan.

 

BB: Rick Ankiel’s DEMON! is Lindsay Lohan’s dad?

 

ED:  Well, Rick and Linsday are both pretty hot so…yeah?

 

BB: Is the Matt Morris dream dead? Is it Matt Morris who wanted to pitch for the White Sox, or Mark Buehrle who wanted to pitch for the Cardinals?

 

PR: Despite the fantasy bitterness I should have, I heart Morris. Be Brave Little Soldier.

 

ED:  Even worse is the fact that the pen really got worked hard last year.  Really-really-really hard. Add on that the fact that the bulk of that pen is nothing you should have ever depended too much upon in the first place and…you’ve got a nice bunch of lighter fluid.  This should come as no surprise to anyone who’s ever seen LaRussa operate.  But hey, he’s the genius, not me. 

 

BB: www.craigslist.org > st. louis > casual encounters > get out a cleanup hitter for me – L4L

 

get out a cleanup hitter for me

Reply to: anon-6157343@craigslist.org

Date: 2005-08-17, 11:58 PM CDT

 

Have a problem with left-handed slugger in the middle of the opposition’s lineup. Don’t want to commit to someone for multiple batters. That’s where you come in. Throw ten warm up pitches, I’ll stall for a little bit, you come in, do your thing, I’ll stall some more, you get out of there. No need to reciprocate. Me: tall, handsome, jet black hair, mid 40’s :). You: funky throwing motion, mid 40’s, preferably white. Send picture to get picture. Hurry up – I think Mulder is tiring, he’s only thrown 147 pitches.

 

BB: If I am a Cardinals fan I would be seriously, seriously worried about this bullpen – much more so than the Mets or the Cubs are about theirs. The Cardinals lost Steve Kline and Kiko Calero – probably the 2nd and 3rd best pitchers in the pen. Ray King is only average against righties (.696 OPS versus righties/.503 versus lefties over the last three years). They added Mike Myers to be LOOGY Supreme…and then dealt him back to the Red Sox. That leaves Julian Tavarez who not only had a flukishly good year last year but is also insane. How do I define flukishly good? Giving up one home run all season. Of course – he has done that two years in a row, somehow. Regardless – he isn’t gonna have a 2.38 ERA again.

 

PR: Well you could argue that he is a dirty cheater but since he is a pitcher and they have been doing it since the beginning of time, it’s forgotten. No cream or clear means A-OK.

 

ED:  TRADITION! Phil!  TRADITION!

 

BB: There is also Cal Eldred who…I feel bad for Cal Eldred, but if you are going to rely on him – you are asking for trouble. They also lost Dan Haren in the Mulder trade which costs them their long reliever. So they are ugly on the left and really, really ugly on the right. When your manager insists on getting his exercise solely through trips to and from the mound, that’s going to become a problem.

 

BB: Jason Isringhausen is a very good closer but he is about as healthy as a Thickburger.

 

PR: Is that what they are calling Ray King now?

 

ED:  Aww

 

BB: The Cardinals, over the past four years, have shown the ability to both score runs and prevent runs at a pennant-caliber level, just not very often at the same time. They did in 2002 but ran into Bonds. This year, their offense improved ever so slightly – 70 or so more ABs from Jim Edmonds, along with Reggie Sanders as opposed to the mix of Eduardo Perez/Orlando Palmeiro and an injured JD Drew/Ray Lankford they’d been rolling out so far – and they got better work out of their back of their bullpen than they had in previous years, and they got slightly better work out of their staff. Incremental improvements took them from the 90 win team they were to the 100 team they became. 

 

ED:  Offensively, the Cards will still score some runs, presumably.  Of course, the only Cardinal regular who’s not an injury risk is Reggie Sanders.  And when Reggie Sanders is your rock, you probably shouldn’t make World Series plans. Best case scenario, you get 110- 125 games with Larry Walker, Jim Edmonds and Scott Rolen and Albert Pujols all together in the line-up.  That means you’re giving Roger Cedeno and John Mabry a helluva lot of AB’s.  You can talk large and small market crap all you want.  But if the best you can do for bench players are Roger Cedeno and John Mabry when you’ve got far too many injury risks in your regular line-up, you ain’t doing your job as a GM.  But hey, Walt Jocketty won a World Series back in the first Bush’s term.  He’s better than me.  I am no expert.

 

BB: www.craigslist.org > st. louis > help wanted > bench players for legendary base ball manager

 

bench players for legendary base ball manager

Reply to: anon-6157343@craigslist.org

Date: 2005-03-28, 12:58 PM PST

 

 

Looking for temporary players to fill out bench of professional baseball team in 2005. Team has history of success, solid, stable ownership, excellent ties within both local and national media.

 

Desired applicants should:      1. Be able to play multiple positions

be able to fulfill as many         2. Want to learn how to play more positions

of the following criteria           3. Be able to play catcher

as possible                               4. Want to learn how to play catcher

 

Prior experience with ’87-’95 Oakland Athletics not required but highly recommended.  

 

Benefits: Playing in front of THE BEST FANS IN AMERICA!!, learn new positions, possible re-employment at new franchise ten years from now

 

ED:  But the best thing about the 2K5 Cards is the changes in the middle infield.  Say all you want about Tony Womack, but at least he could move.  Sure he can’t, ya know, field very well.  But he could move.  Hey, he even had a nice little offensive season – for Tony Womack. (Yes, that’s like saying you did good on your SAT’s…for being a mongoloid.  Which I assume was said about Tony Womack once in his life too.  Maybe not.) 

 

PR: Wait, are you implying that Womack did poorly on his SATs or that he is a mongoloid? And with the newly “recentered” SATs, do mongoloids get take untimed tests? Extra points for drooling?

 

ED:  Golly, if only I could have honestly answered yes to all the above. I sure would’ve done a whole lot better on my SAT.

 

ED: So you replace Womack with a guy who had no range BEFORE he had a bad back?  OK. Todd Walker chuckles.  Derek Lowe flips the bird at Voros.  Life goes on. But then, you let the most unheralded SS in the game go and you replace him with…David Eckstein? 

 

PR: Is this a good time to mention that Ed decided on whether to keep the most unheralded SS in the game on a coin flip. Come draft day… Ed will not have to worry about whether Hideki Matsui was taken. Aww

 

BB: Not to mention a coin flip that took a full day to run.

 

ED:  You realize how hard it is for a guy like me to get someone to loan me a coin?  And now probably is not a good time for me to go into my story about failing a test on money in the second grade because I didn’t know what a coin was.  Stupid…brain!

 

BB: …

 

ED:  Yeah. That’s what I thought.

 

ED: Oh sure, the whiteness factor makes him perfect for St. Louis, I know, but…has anyone in St. Louis actually seen him try to play SS? Even the VP.com softball team wouldn’t even let him play SS.  I trust Rippa to not hit Bill in the head with all his throws over El Albinocito’s fielding.  Of course, it’s Bill’s head not mine.  He’s young and has more brain cells than me.  What do I care? 

 

BB: David Eckstein scored a 98 on the TeamFinder for the Cardinals, Ed. There was absolutely no way he wasn’t going there. As for VP softball – if you want to put 6’6” with a kid Rippa at shortstop and 5’10” hopped on caffeine me at first – you may have a career in softball management.

 

PR: You laugh but this actually happened to me. I am sure I wrote about it… hold on…

http://www.veteranpresence.com/email/rippa_2.html

 

BB: 75% of a season of Larry Walker instead of the Ray Lankford/SO TAGUCHI (yes – his name is too funny to not leave fully capitalized) combination. They combined for 432 at-bats last year and created 54 runs. Walker had 258 at-bats and created 62. That’s almost a full game’s difference right there. If Walker can get back up to his usual 450 or so at-bats, the difference will be about 3 or 4 wins above what they had last year, making him as valuable as any of the free agent signings this offseason.

 

BB: I am sure that if the Cardinals win 80 games this year people will say it was because they lost Mike Matheny – chemist and catcher extraordinaire. Except for the fact that every study of Catcher ERA (the ERA recorded by pitchers while a particular catcher is in the game) has shown that the catcher has absolutely no effect on ERA. And that Mike Matheny hits roughly as well as Rick Ankiel. And he’s turning 34 and likely to suffer through injuries and a drop-off in his already ugly numbers. But when the Giants win 75 games after Bonds sits out most of the season, will anyone say that it was because they got no production out of their catcher? What do you think?

 

ED:  I think that Cardinal fans would still complain about not having Matheny, actually.

 

BB: Oh come on – they will be too busy turning on Mark McGwire. Or sucking on the Larry Walker teat.

 

ED:  Oooo, Canadian.

 

BB: I think the Cardinals take this division again – the Astros are falling off a cliff, the Cubs are busy chasing their own tail, and the Reds and Pirates are comical. The Brewers are going to be a lock in this division by 2007, and no one has anyone to blame but themselves.

 

ED:  Over/Under on the number of times sportscasters sport the O-face about the Cardinals scrap: 300,000.

 

BB: I’m not gonna do another Craigslist ad for that

HOUSTON ASTROS

Previous year’s record: 92-70

2nd, NL Central. Won Wild Card, LDS. Lost in LCS

 

 

KEY ADDITIONS

 

KEY LOSSES

LOOGY

John Franco

2B

Jeff Kent

C

Humberto Quintero

CF

Carlos Beltran

 

 

SP

Wade Miller

 

 

RP

Dan Miceli

 

 

SP

Tim Redding

 

 

 

 

RANDOM DIAMOND NOTE

Brandon Backe's status as a free agent has been complicated by rumors that he has become an alluring zebra.

 

PROJECTED LINEUP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C

Brad Ausmus

SP

Roy Oswalt

1B

Jeff Bagwell

SP

Roger Clemens

2B

Craig Biggio

SP

Andy Pettite

SS

Adam Everett

SP

Brandon Backe

3B

Morgan Ensberg

SP

Carlos Hernandez

LF

Jason Lane

MR

Dan Wheeler

CF

Willy Taveras

MR

John Franco

RF

Lance Berkman/Lance Scott

MR

Chad Harville

 

 

CL

Brad Lidge

 

 

 

 

 

BB: Want to know how the Astros are going to do this year? Look at who they lost. Look at who they replaced them with. Then, factor in that the Astros have one of the oldest cores in baseball. THEN, factor in that they have, as discussed at length this offseason, one of the weakest farm systems in baseball.

 

BB: Ed listed David Everett as the Astros’ starting SS in the first draft of this document. Now – I know lots of Everett’s. I do not know any David Everett’s.

 

PR: Oh yeah… who could he be talking about? Carl Everett? No, too crazy. Chris Everett? No too hot. Jim Everett? No too feminine. Rupert Everett? No, not heterosexual enough. Everett Bankston? No, too dead ballish. Everett Boe? No, too Federal League. Everett Fagan? No, too Philadelphia A’sy. Everett Mills? No, too managerial. Everett Stull? No, too random. C. Everett Koop? No, too surgeon generally. I guess it must be Adam Everett.

 

ED:  Reason #3 that I haven’t been replaced by the Korean cartoonist yet.

 

BB: Reasons #1 and 2 – me and Rippa are too lazy to go get American currency changed into Korean. It is ok Ed. You are safe here.

 

ED:  Wait! When has there ever been money involved? Are you guys holding out on me?

 

ED:  The biggest stories about the Astros as they head into the 2005 season is the losses of OF’s Carlos Beltran and Lance Berkman.  The ‘Stros decided not to pony up the money to keep Beltran in place and, while that was understandable, the decision to possibly move the rotting corpse of Craig Biggio back into center was…questionable.  Losing Berkman for the outset of the season with a knee injury will finally give Jason Lane some AB’s so that’s not all bad.  But this is clearly not a team to fear, that’s for certain.

 

 

Houston Astros 2004-2005 Runs Created (using PECOTA Projections from Baseball Prospectus)

POS

2004 Starter

RC

2005 Starter

RC

Comment

Diff

C

Brad Ausmus

40

Brad Ausmus

21

Very possibly the worst regular in baseball.

-19

1B

Jeff Bagwell

98

Jeff Bagwell

77

Has been steadily decreasing for five years now.

-21

2B

Jeff Kent

99

Craig Biggio

57

This isn’t even including the reports out that have Biggio looking “lost” at second base. Aww

-41

3B

Morgan Ensberg

56

Morgan Ensberg

50

Again – there’s worries about his plate appearances. I’ll say he gets another 100 ABs as opposed to his PECOTA projection and call it basically a wash.

+3

SS

Adam Everett

45

Adam Everett

41

Both project him not playing full-time – he simply hasn’t developed as a hitter. If he had stuck in Boston, he could’ve been part of the Immaculate Glove Explosion last year.

-4

LF

Craig Biggio

96

Jason Lane

24

PECOTA thinks he will get 181 ABs. If he gets 550, his number would be around 73.

-23

CF

Carlos Beltran

119

Willy Taveras

32

Don’t even worry about the fielding dropoff. I’m being nice. That’s in 341 AB; 550 AB’s would give him 52.

-67

RF

Lance Berkman

137

Lance Berkman

102

102 is for a generous 500 AB estimate. I’ll stick with it.

-35

 

 

600

 

379

 

-207

BB: I don’t think there’s a scenario you can concoct where the Astros aren’t losing at least 75-100 runs offensively from what they produced last year. Let’s go with the most likely scenario, using Projected Runs Created according to their Prospectus projection:

 

BB: Even allowing for what could potentially be a better bench and probable math errors on my part, even allowing for some breakout potential from Burke and Ensberg, you’re looking at a minimum dip of 150 runs. That’s somewhere in the order of 12-16 wins on batting alone. And it’s not like the defense is gonna be any better with Biggio in center instead of Beltran AND Berkman crippled.

 

ED:  Presumably, the ‘Stros are counting on being carried by pitching. Oswalt and Clemens are mostly sure things.  Backe looked decent in the playoffs and Carlos Hernandez rose from the grave to tease the Astros all over again. 

 

BB: I’m not so sure about this. Clemens IS old enough to give Jayson Stark fodder for enough embarrassingly useless columns alone. Brandon Backe…had three decent starts in the playoffs. And hadn’t pitched well in the minors before the season. What’s to say he is more a playoff phenom than he is Bob Wolcott? Hernandez, on the other hand, should be recovered enough from surgery to twirl off 140 or so good innings this year.

 

PR: Well I think Clemens has proven that he is a freak. And some people are still waiting for the bottom to drop out on Randy Johnson.

 

ED:  Then you have Andy Pettitte.  I’ve never actually read the Bible, I will admit.  I know odd bits here and there from my Methodist upbringing.  But all the Methodists ever really taught me was that there’s no way you can really go to Hell – unless you own an Ozzy album.  So maybe there’s something in there about Jesus healing a spent elbow.  It’s probably somewhere in there right next to Duran Duran being Satanic.  I’d look these things up, but I am lazy.  Anyway, point is, unless Jesus really does give a crap about sports – thereby proving all those athletes right and ruining every joke ever told about that scenario – I’m not certain that Andy Pettitte can do much of anything for the ‘Stros aside from keeping Roger Clemens from killing someone.  Even then, the odds are against Lenny.  But on the bright side, there are plenty of bunnies in Texas to keep him amused. There.  Have we now beaten every Andy Pettitte joke to death yet?

 

BB: I think the Astros might be better off acquiring Doug Glanville and teaching Pettite some Dungeons and Dragons spells. +3 Abnormally Low BABIP! Bible or no bible, Pettite is probably a decent bit to do well if his strikeout rate stays where it was around the last couple of years. 

 

PR: This is one step closer to becoming a reality.

 

ED:  And let’s say, hypothetically, that all the Astros starters are healthy and effective.  How many innings are they going to have to pull every night to keep the Houston pen from being exposed?  Phil Garner’s managerial job in the playoffs pretty much said everything you need to know about the Astros pen – go with the starter until their arm falls off then hope Brad Lidge can give you 3 innings.  The addition of John Franco was…just for our amusement, I assume. And for that, we salute the Astros.

 

BB: I approve of all attempts to amuse VP writers. In fact, I lay down the gauntlet to you right now, general managers. If you promise to field a Derek Bell/Rickey Henderson/Raul Mondesi outfield and lock them in a room wired for audio, together, for an hour before and after the game, I will fly to your town and take the game in.

 

 

Relievers with 90+ Innings and 11.0+ K/9

Player

Year

K/9

IP

Afterwards

Brad Lidge

2004

14.9

92

 

Rob Dibble

1989

12.8

99

 

Rob Dibble

1990

12.4

98

Dibble maintained his strikeout rate with slightly less usage in ’91 and ’92, but his arm was toast afterwards

Tom Henke

1987

12.3

94

 

Tom Henke

1986

11.6

91

Henke’s 1989 missed the cutoff by 1 IP; his strikeout rate went down to about 9 K/9 but he remained highly successful

Duane Ward

1991

11

107

He had several years right around this area but this was the one year that fit the criteria. His arm went at the end of ’93 and he was done

Dick Radatz

1963

11

132

Recently-deceased Radatz had four years around this level (’63 was year #2) but was never effective again.

BB: Brad Lidge was pretty amazing last year. He struck out 14.9 guys per 9 innings last year. That was essentially Eric Gagne with 10 extra innings of being Eric Gagne last year, plus 12 playoff innings where he struck out exactly 15 guys per 9. Amazing is the only way to describe it. Well – there are others but I am lazy and tired. So for me, amazing is the only way. That being said, Lidge took this long to arrive and did so as a reliever because of his injury history in the minors. He pitched 107 innings last year when you factor in the playoffs, and 84 the year before. Strikeouts, even if they’re three pitch strikeouts, are more strenuous than most groundball/flyball at bats. There have been six seasons where a reliever struck out more than 11 guys per nine innings over 90+ innings – they are listed on the right.

 

BB: Where does Lidge fit in? I’m not sure. His 2003 was not as effective or as lengthy as his 2004. Considering his injury history and the likelihood of him taking on a large amount of work in the Astros ‘pen, I’d say that he should be fine in 2005 but I could see him pitching 40 innings over the rest of his career after that. Would make astoundingly wonderful trade bait after this season if still healthy – the Astros would benefit far too much from a Jeff Bagwell, Jeff Bagwell’s contract and Lidge to the Yankees for Eric Duncan, Jorge Posada, and Steve Karsay trade for it to actually happen. Oh well.

 

ED:  Offensively, this was a team mostly carried by Beltran and Berkman down the stretch.  Jeff Bagwell assumedly found his hitting stroke in his ex-wife’s cleavage down the stretch, but he’s a-looking more and more like toast and his ex put her cleavage up for sale anyway so….things don’t seem to wonderful there.  But at least Bagwell isn’t as much like toast as his buddy Craig Biggio, though.  And now the ‘Stros are talking about moving Li’l B to 2B.  I’ve seen Biggio play second and…I imagine the Baseball Tonight guys, as they’re watching the games at the ESPN studio, getting John Kruk liquored up and forcing him to table dance.  Not that anyone would really want to see John Kruk table dance.  It’s just like abusing a dumb animal, really.  Harold Reynolds probably gets bored once Griffey goes down with another injury and thinks; let’s get the Kruker to shake that thing.  They probably have twenties they’ve made up with the Peter Gammons’ face that they can pass off as real cash.  And you know they’re shoving the twenties in the Kruker’s g-string as Gammons’ cover of “Oh, Carol” plays.  With the sweat and Crisco glistening off of Kruk’s man-fur and the threat of heart attack high, you know Karl Ravech yells out, “My god!  Is that a Hostess truck that just overturned in front of the studio,” just to make Kruk pass out with too much joy.    Anyway, if the thought of being the guy who has to squeegee off the John Kruk grease spot from the anchor desk of Baseball Tonight before the show starts seems ugly to you, it’s only half as ugly as Biggio in the field these days.

 

BB: Oh man – and then when that grows old – and when will that ever grow old – you bring Neyer in and freak him out about what really happens at Baseball Tonight while he clutches a Baseball Encyclopedia in his arms and tries to hide on the floor while Brantley keeps trying to push him towards Kruk, telling him “If you wanna be on the show, you gotta be a PART of the show”, and Neyer’s sitting there thinking – “you know, I never learned anything about this in Bill James’ basement in Kansas, I thought being able to drink a few beers and drag carcasses to their beds and drive home without hitting too many mailboxes was enough but no one ever told me about this and I just want to go back and feel comfortable and safe in something again” but Brantley knows that Neyer’s just trying to hide and insists upon it – having himself been made to perform by Rob Dibble and Tom Candiotti when HE showed up on BBTN. And so Neyer will start walking over slowly and pray that his sponsor – Gammons, who knows Neyer and really cares about him unlike the rest of these jerks – shows up and that he can get Neyer out of it, but Gammons is on the SportsCenter set trying to get his tongue down Martha Kramer’s throat talking about how great Pearl Jam is  And that night, Rob Neyer will have to stick his hand down John Kruk’s pants and everyone will laugh and Neyer will too, a little, inbetween tears, and everyone will think that he grew up and became a man that night but really Neyer just got imbued with a false sense of his own strength and bravery. And then Joe Sheehan’ll see Kruk & Neyer walking around a few weeks later and Sheehan will go over to Rob and say hey but Kruk will give Neyer the eye and Rob will just walk on by. Because he is Baseball Tonight and Sheehan is not. That’s just how things go.

 

ED:  So basically, the ‘Stros are screwed, is what I’m saying.  The rest of the regulars – aside from Lane and Berkman – are good-glove guys with no good reason to take a bat to the plate.  If the ‘Stros finish third in this division it’s only because of their pitching and the general ineptness of the rest of the division.  P-U.

 

BB: But hey – at least the Astros have Jeff Bagwell locked in for two more years.

 

ED:  Andy Pettitte praises Jesus.

CHICAGO CUBS

Previous year’s record: 89-73

3rd, NL Central

 

 

KEY ADDITIONS

 

KEY LOSSES

OF

Jeromy Burnitz

RF

Sammy Sosa

UT

Jerry Hairston, Jr.

SP

Matt Clement

DL

Scott Williamson

SS

Ramon Martinez

OF

Roger Cedeno

IF

Mark Grudzielanek

 

 

RP

Kyle Farnsworth

 

 

OF

Tom Goodwin

RANDOM DIAMOND NOTE
One potentially reserved pitcher who is suddenly throwing like a lazy fruit roll is Mark Prior, whose big change can be traced to a pizza slice he found while touring some swimming pools on his winter vacation in West Virginia, which when Joe Blanton heard about it, he insisted on having it, and gave Prior the secret of his Norelco shaver in exchange.

PROJECTED LINEUP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C

Michael Barrett

SP

Kerry Wood

1B

Derrek Lee

SP

Carlos Zambrano

2B

Todd Walker

SP

Greg Maddux

SS

Nomar Garciaparra

SP

Mark Prior

3B

Aramis Ramirez

SP

Glendon Rusch

LF

Todd Hollandsworth

NVC

LaTroy Hawkins

CF

Corey Patterson

MR

Chad Fox

RF

Jeromy Burnitz

MR

Joe Borowski

UT

Jerry Hairston, Jr.

CL

Ryan Dempster

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ED:  Oh, this is…odd.  So the Cubs lost Mr. Pee Hands to free agency and found a sucker for Sammy Sosa and they plan on replacing them with…Todd Hollandsworth and Jeromy Burnitz?  Oh yeah, these are the Cubs, all right. 

 

BB: Well – the Cubs are definitely whiter now. There is no arguing that. It’s hard to get whiter than Jeromy Burnitz. And I would know.

 

PR: This makes me wonder if all the offseason transactions where made while Dusty was on holiday.

 

ED:  Where would Dusty take a holiday?  I’m guessing Ecuador.

 

BB: He is so going to one of the places in the opening round of the CONCACAF qualifiers. St. Kitts and Nevis. Turks and Caicos Islands. Guyana. French Guyana. Montserrat.

 

ED:  I assume the party line is something about pitching and defense.  But then you’ve got Todd Walker and Nomar right there.  So maybe the party line is something about pitching and team chemistry.  But then you’ve got noted clubhouse cancer Nomar right there too.  So I assume that the party line is something along the lines of these are the guys who Dusty doesn’t hate…yet.  Yeah, that’s a fine way to organize your team.  I mean, sure, it’s better than how, say, the Orioles assemble a team but still…

 

ED:  One can’t help but notice that the Cubs this off-season got decidedly…umm…less able to handle the heat.  And since the intense heat of mid-to-late-September must’ve been what caused the Cubs to fold like Bill in Party Poker with a pair of fours, one must wonder how much input Dusty had in the construction of this team.  And if Dusty had no control over the roster construction yet he can get announcers canned, what…aww…screw it.  My head is hurting already.

 

BB: I think we need to put a moratorium on PartyPoker jokes to avoid me punching a hole in my monitor.

 

PR: I could see myself playing the fours, catching another one on the flop and then losing to a flush on the river. Ugh… memories.

 

ED:  On the bright side for the Cubs, they do have pitching – at least starters, anyway. Prior and Wood came on at the end of last season to make up for their early-season absences and to help out Carlos Zambrano – who had carried the team all through the first half with Matt Clement.  Having Wood, Prior and Zambrano healthy makes the Cubs a force in this division.  Sure, that doesn’t mean much, but someone has to win the Special Olympics Gold.

 

BB: Sadly – the odds of Zambrano staying healthy are…well…they’re freaking awful. Wood and Prior spent a good amount of last year on the lam, though, so they should be pretty healthy for this season. It’s sad that you have to analyze the Cubs rotation through Saberhagen lenses.

 

ED:  The bullpen, on the other hand – and, let’s face it, Dusty’s mishandling of the pen – was the cause of the Cubs 2004 late-season flop.  (One might make a joke here about LaTroy Hawkins’ inability to handle the heat, but not me.  Nope.)  There are, and were, plenty of decent arms in the pen.  Shoot, there are plenty of decent arms all over the Cubs organization. Someone showing Dusty how to utilize the best possible scenarios with his arms would be most beneficial – but why start now, I guess.  The Cubs are talking about a bullpen by committee – which is funny on too many levels – with possibly Ryan Dempster getting the bulk of the early save opportunities.  General Ackbar clears his throat.

 

BB: The Cubs like doing things that other teams do. Turn your failed starting pitcher into a closer! That’s a good idea! Sign a guy who just had Tommy John surgery, let him recuperate for a while, and then you get his fresh new healthy season? Genius! COMBINE THE TWO???? Now THAT’S pretty baseball groupthink.

 

PR: It also saves roster space for their random utility infielder of the moment. The leading candidate for this year would have to be Enrique Wilson after he gets let go by the Orioles at some point. I mean someone in the NL has to have PEDRO KILLA~! now.

 

ED:  I’m thinking Enrique has Washington National written all over him.

 

BB: I’m not sure what the Cubs are really gonna do about their closer. I mean – I know they aren’t, either, but I at least like to think like I can see what the best option is. Joe Borowski was good but he is hurt too much. That is fine. Having your very own Matt Mantei is fun. LaTroy Hawkins is good but cursed as a closer because Dusty has scapegoated him on the pitching side of the ledger. No biggie. He’ll be valuable in middle relief. The Cubs figured they would give Ryan Dempster the job until they realized Ryan Dempster hadn’t been very valuable since his post-World Series Leyland scragging…years before his Tommy John surgery. Chad Fox…is even more Mantei-esque than Borowski. I’m going to chalk up the Kerry Wood talk to a drunk beat writer. Iowa made it to the International League finals last year with Mike Wuertz as their closer. Wuertz had 59 strikeouts and 15 walks in 45 innings – decent if not great numbers. He struck out a man an inning in the majors but he walked too many guys. He just moved into relief last year so he could develop further this year. Do you feel like I’m talking you into it? That’s because I’m trying to. There’s no better idea.

 

ED:  Or you could just run it like I end up doing my fantasy teams and punting saves completely.

 

BB: You do that on purpose?!?

 

ED:  Uhh…Yeah?…YEAH!  That’s what I’m claiming.  Lemme alone.

 

BB: What would I do if I was them? This is gonna hurt, but I’m going to say it anyway. I’d deal Todd Walker to the Yankees for one of their relievers – hopefully Steve Karsay, probably Felix Rodriguez. Have Jerry Hairston play second everyday, or everyday until he gets hurt. Grab one of the eight trillion outfielders who can hit – you have one in your farm system, Jim Hendry, his name is Jason Dubois and he hit .314/.388/.629 in the PCL last year – and let him play when Hollandsworth is crippled. Or – if you want to be sorta intelligent (I know this won’t fly in Tribune-land but just be patient with my youth here), play Hollandsworth (.832 OPS against righties, .675 against lefties over the last three years) against righties and DuBois against lefties. I’m just trying to help. 

 

ED:  Offensively, the Cubs are a strange mix of things: there’s some pop with Lee, Burnitz and Ramirez, some speed with Patterson and Hairston, some semblance of on-base ability with Walker, some contact guys in Nomar and Barrett.  It’s like a kid with ADD built this line-up – anyone seen Darren Baker with a bottle of Ritalin? – which is neither good nor bad. It’s just…ya know…different.  And if you’re going to compose a team for Dusty Baker, do you want to compose a team where he’d have to be all John McGraw to get the most out of it?  Honestly?

 

BB: The problem with the Cubs is that they come from a place where they only seemingly get half the information they need to successfully run a baseball team. They got the Athletics memo about having a great core of starting pitching to build around – they didn’t get the one about getting guys on base to score runs. They got the memo that Dusty Baker is a good manager when it comes to getting the most out of his veteran hitters – they didn’t get the one about him not being able to manage youngsters OR being a useless tactician. They know that a closer is easy to find, but they’re not sure who to pick as that closer. This is really like the Beavis & Butthead video game. Jim Hendry has about half of the ticket – but half of the ticket will not get you into the GWAR show, buddy. You need the whole thing.

 

PR: Oh this team is so run like the AI runs the Cubs in MVP Baseball. By mid-May everyone was on the trading block, Maddox, Wood, Prior, Sosa (since I have the 04 version) and they would accept almost any offer. “Hmmm… you wanna give us Kevin Brown, Aaron Boone AND Kenny Lofton for Wood and Prior. Let me start on the paperwork RIGHT NOW!”

 

ED:  Number of times sportscaster geeks poop on the Cubs for trading Sammy Sosa:  3 billion.

 

BB: Oh no – I think “Number of times sportscaster geeks pimp the Cubs for not giving into the demands of the greedy (Latino) player: 3 billion”

 

CINCINNATI REDS

Previous year’s record: 76-86

4th, NL Central

 

 

KEY ADDITIONS

 

KEY LOSSES

RP

Kent Mercker

SS

Barry Larkin

ACE

Eric Milton

RP

John Riedling

SP

Ramon Ortiz

SP

Cory Lidle

3B

Joe Randa

RP4J

Todd Jones

RP

David Weathers

RP

Gabe White

RP

Ben Weber

SP

Aaron Myette

RANDOM DIAMOND NOTE
Dan O'Brien is as conscious of salamanders as anyone, but evin he didn't realize that Jung Bong's pet crab was allergic to them. Bong blamed Dave Miley, shouting "I work events!" to his face, and calling him a "warm celery stalk". Eventually, Jason LaRue stepped in and calmed things down, but not before the damage had been done, and now the Reds have to reconsider the Bong-for-Mike Mussina offer they taken off the table just last week.

PROJECTED LINEUP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C

Jason LaRue

SP

Eric Milton

1B

Sean Casey

SP

Paul Wilson

2B

D’Angelo Jimenez

SP

Ramon Ortiz

SS

Felipe Lopez

SP

Aaron Harang

3B

Joe Randa

SP

Brandon Claussen

LF

Adam Dunn

MR

Kent Mercker

CF

Wily Mo Pena

MR

David Weathers

RF

Austin Kearns

MR

Ben Weber

DL

Ken Griffey, Jr.

CL

Danny Graves

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ED:  Welcome to Ohio.  We will suck the life out of you.

 

BB: Ohio: You were asking for it by showing up here looking like that.

 

PR: Cincinnati: At least you are not in Dayton!

 

ED:  God, truer words were never written.

 

ED:  There were some signs of excitement in the area because the Reds actually shelled out some cash on a free agent pitcher.  Of course, the Reds signed a questionable commodity for far too much money and will do everything in their power to get rid of that contract by the time we elect a new governor here in the Buckeye state.  But hey, it’s a sign that they’re trying.  Or so I’m told.  Which is pure B.S. and only the saddest of rubes buy it.  But then, Ohio is the land of sad rubes.

 

PR: Can’t they just have someone from Ohio State steal the contract papers? It just seems like such an obvious solution to that problem and you are putting the talents of a state University to good use.

 

ED:  That would be University of Cincinnati, Phil.  The lesser – and more local – corrupt state school in Ohio.

 

BB: Well god knows Andy Katzenmoyer isn’t doing anything nowadays. Pounce, Big Kat, pounce!

 

ED:  Hey! He pumped my gas last week.  Almost managed to clean my windshield too.

 

BB: There a lot of ways you can debunk the Eric Milton signing as a terrible, terrible one. Most people would point to his tateriffic ways in Philadelphia and how he’s moving to a great park for home run hitting. Or how he wasn’t all that good in Philadelphia to begin with if you looked at anything but his Win-Loss record. Or how he’s not the picture of health. Any of those reasons would be good enough for most people. But I will offer you another one. Why is Eric Milton overvalued and not worth signing and paying as a very good starting pitcher? Because Cincinnati wanted him AND signed him. And if you can get sucked in by the Reds, you’re not good enough for everyone else.

 

ED:  Calling Eric Milton a Filipino whore may be a bit harsh.  A bit.  Maybe.  And yet…it’s not that far off the mark.  The Reds needed someone remotely sexy to blow money on to make them forget that theirs is a pathetic existence.  Eric Milton wanted a payday from a dumb sugar daddy, never mind if the sugar daddy will treat him right.  There was plenty of talk about the Reds needing to shell out too much money on a big free agent so they can get free agents interested in the Reds in the future. You know, be seen blowing too much of your little bit of money on a tramp if only to show that you know how to treat a woman.  Fine, no one’s heart is getting broken here and a score is a score, right?  But who are the Reds really attracting?  More Filipino whores. And what is Eric Milton getting?  A wad of cash on the dresser before he’s told to get out the door.  Look, it’s one thing to blow money on a free agent, it’s another to spend money wisely on someone – or even multiple someone’s – who can help you.  And it’s one thing to get a big payday in your prime, it’s another to position yourself properly so you can get another payday further on down the road.  If there was anything “Moneyball” should have taught us all, it’s that a “small market” team doesn’t have to stop spending money, it has to spend money properly.  And if there’s anything Denny Neagle should have taught us, it’s that dealing with – or even AS – a whore is not always a good idea. Milton is fragile and an extreme fly ball pitcher who needs a really big ballpark to look semi-valuable. Cincinnati needs a veteran arm that can help Paul Wilson eat innings.  Does this look like a love connection to you?

 

BB: I am a young fella. With that in mind – I am all for getting drunk and ending up in the bed of someone you don’t really know so well. Sometimes you are happy about it. Sometimes you are not. These things will happen. You live. You learn. You looooose, you learn. That being said – who ever heard of a four year one night stand? The Reds get to experience all the bad parts of a one night stand with an ugly girl for four years straight.

 

PR: The fact that Bill just subtly referenced an Alanis Morrisette song is very sad. Of course, I recognized it but I have a vagina.

 

ED:  I honestly didn’t recognize it until Phil pointed it out.  I don’t know if I should be proud or scared that my memory keeps flying away.

 

BB: Alanis Morrisette or Phil’s vagina?

 

ED:  Yes.

ED:  So let’s say, hypothetically, that you are the Reds GM.  Yeah-yeah.  I know. Let’s say, hypothetically, that you have a flesh eating bacteria on your jimmy.  It’s far more palatable idea to ponder, I understand.  Just play along.  So you’re the Reds GM.  Everything is pretty much a mess, but there are some hope spots.  You have some young boppers in the OF; one of whom is fragile, one of whom is a horrible fielder, one of whom is a pretty well unknown quantity at this point.  You have a slap hitting 1B who had his career year and is at his highest trade value, and a crippled CF with name value and a huge contract keeping you from getting all three of the young ‘uns in the line-up. What do you do?  If your answer is nothing, enjoy your sweet chili.

 

BB: In all fairness, they did almost deal Griffey for Phil Nevin last year. Then again…Phil Nevin would just block Edwin Encarnacion AND Nevin was stinky and hurt, too. There is no excuse for the Reds not dealing Sean Casey to the Mets for anything – Aaron Heilman?

 

ED:  Reading through the rotation list is like flipping through a bum pack of baseball cards full of filler.  At least in my day a pack of cards cost a quarter.  Shelling out 2-3 bucks for a pack of this crud would make me want to burn down the Topps factory.  Then again, the Reds are blowing several million on this collection o’ crap so…I guess the joke’s on them. 

 

BB: Ah – but these cards are special, Ed. In every pack, one card might have scorched baseball on it, taken direct from the GAB bleachers! Or, if you’re really lucky, you might get a card with a real ligament taken from Ken Griffey!

 

BB: The Nationals REALLY want Wily Mo Pena. I can not even begin to explain how much the Reds would make themselves better by dealing Wily Mo Pena and Sean Casey for Nick Johnson, John Patterson, and Zach Day. But it will never ever ever happen. Because god knows the Reds will never achieve the lofty heights of…the 75 or so wins they’ve been averaging this decade. But he’s scrappy.

 

PR: I hate you. I will say this though Wily Mo Pena always brings the funny. I just bought some baseball cards from the last couple of years, cried at how expensive they are, and then laughed when I read the back of Pena’s card.

“"Because of a contract stipulation, Wily Mo was on the Reds roster throughout the 2003 season and though he played little, learned a lot - often by evaluating pitchers. "[Barry] Larkin talked to me a lot…and [batting coach] Ray Knight talked to me." he says.

 

Wily Mo Pena - SOCIAL~!

 

ED:  Yeah and getting tips from Ray Knight is ALWAYS a good idea. 

 

BB: “If you’re looking for ladies, Wily Mo, don’t go to the club or the bar or singles night or eight minute dating or outside the ballpark or on Myspace or Craigslist. Find out where the LPGA is and you will finally be satisfied.”

 

ED:  Aww, and I thought I was setting up a joke about Gary Carter’s wife.

 

ED:  Even funnier is the all the local talk about the Reds greatly improving their horrible bullpen by picking up…David Weathers, Kent Mercker and Ben Weber.  Really.  I am not making this up.  But at least that’s replaced all the Brandon Claussen Jesus-freak stories.  But I’m not really certain which is worse now that I think of it.

 

BB: The Reds’ pitching 2005: keeping it pasty. Did Ray King jilt them or something?

 

ED:  Offensively, the Reds are not going to be horrible.  Probably.  Sure, they need to find suckers for Casey and Griffey but that’s not going to happen so you have to hope for injuries – and with both, that’s pretty much a certainty.  The rest of the lot puts the Reds about middle of the pack in this division.  It will be enough to hold off the Pirates and fight with the Brewers for fourth.  And I suppose that’s something.  Certainly it’s all the fault of the big market teams, and as long as you’ve got an excuse for your failures, life isn’t so bad.  Meh.

 

BB: The Reds could score 800 runs. They scored 750 last year which wasn’t a bad total. But they allowed 907. Now – Arizona allowed 899 and Colorado allowed 923, but those are in hitters’ parks. Great American Ball Park played as a strong pitcher’s park last year, somehow. Equalize it for park and (according to my horrible math), Cincinnati would’ve allowed 940 runs, Colorado 850, and Arizona 866. So compared to that crap – Eric Milton is better. Cincinnati will still give up 800 runs and their upside is .500. But…Adam Dunn sure is pretty.

 

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

Previous year’s record: 72-89

5th, NL Central

 

 

KEY ADDITIONS

 

KEY LOSSES

SP

Mark Redman

C

Jason Kendall

C

Benito Santiago

IF

Chris Stynes

OF

Matt Lawton

IF

Abraham Nunez

 

 

RP

Mark Corey

 

 

RP

Brian Boehringer

RANDOM DIAMOND NOTE
Listen up, ye proud coin! One scout said "the Pirates certainly knew what me hearties be doing when me hearties got Brad Eldred. He be going to be a drunken hitter." Ye same scout said Matt Peterson be throwing very well, but "he's not a keel anymore. Now the lubber be throwing 76 and relying on his curveball. Obviously, the lubber be copying Mike Gonzalez, which be a good idea if he doesn't want to be out of pirating, living out of clipper ships and trying to find work as a longshoreman next year."

PROJECTED LINEUP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C

Benito Santiago

SP

Oliver Perez

1B

Craig Wilson

SP

Kip Wells

2B

Jose Castillo/Bobby Hill

SP

Mark Redman

SS

Jack Wilson

SP

Josh Fogg

3B

Ty Wigginton

SP

Dave Williams

LF

Jason Bay

MR

Mike Gonzalez

CF

Tike Redman

MR

Salomon Torres

RF

Matt Lawton

MR

Brian Meadows

 

 

PVC

Jose Mesa

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ED: Speaking of a bum pack of baseball cards…

 

BB: You know – you would think there would be more roster turnover on these awful NL Central teams than just two guys for each team. I guess it’s some sort of reaction to the Bowden/Bonifay days.

 

PR: That is like the worst team made up of guys I kinda like – Craig Wilson, Ty Wiggington, Jason Bay, Tike Redman, Oliver Perez…

 

BB: How did Tike Redman find his way into your heart? That is questionable.

 

ED:  Yeah. That was an odd little addition to the list.

 

ED:  Honestly, in my heart of hearts, I wish the Pirates could make the playoffs somehow – I dunno, lotsa plane crashes or something, I haven’t thought through how this could ever be possible, but somehow – so VP.com’s favorite manager, Lloyd McClendon, could get the spotlight he so richly deserves.  Ideally, the Pirates get to face the Cardinals in the NLCS where our hero Lloyd goes completely psycho on LaRussa over a full 7 game series.  It doesn’t matter who wins or loses, really.  Just as long as Lloyd can go psycho on LaRussa in prime time. 

 

BB: I will fly out for that series, too. You gotta figure the planes that are leftover would be pretty safe.

 

ED:  The Pirates believe that they are going to become a pitching rich organization soon. It’s kinda like how I believed I would some day be a millionaire and stuff.  The teachers always told me that it was good to dream.  The teachers were fools.  The Pirates are fools.  The clock on Oliver Perez’ elbow reconstruction is ticking; Kip Wells will merely be a league average pitcher lucky to get a big pay day from like the Mets or something; Josh Fogg dreams of becoming Kip Wells.  It’s better to shoot down your dreams and hopes at an early stage so you can aptly adjust to the realities of life.  I was a loser when I was 8, the same as I am a loser now.  I understand that at this point, but it would have been much better to let me know that in the 3rd grade than let me flail around later in life. Of course, if you’re a Pirate, you really don’t need this sort of adjustment since the stench of failure hits you just as soon as you sign that contract.  Never mind.

 

BB: Well, yeah. The Pirates have all kinds of failed, waiting-to-fail, or injured pitching prospects. Bobby Bradley – best curve in the minors…till his arm folded up business. Now he’s 24 in AA. Bryan Bullington has already lost miles off of his fastball, isn’t striking anyone out, and got dumped by his Ball State girlfriend and is stuck with some Altoona floozy. Ian Snell is 5’11” (by 11, the Pirates mean you can wishcast that to 5’(x), with (x) being any inch you think might be right. I’m gonna say he’s 5’4”) and could be good in the same way that, say, you might want to have Josh Fogg around.

 

PR: Hmm… Josh Fogg. Yup, had a few failed fantasy starts for me. Same thing with Kip Wells. And the only reason I won’t stupidly pick up Salomon Torres again because I know he isn’t a starter.

 

ED:  And that just makes them all the more Mets-worthy.

 

BB: Not to mention JOSE MESA is the Pirates closer. Holy crap.

 

ED:  Since no one in their right mind would be reading this far into the NL Central preview, let me just set something straight.  In the 2004 preview, I threw in a rant somewhere about how I hate ESPN. In the middle of the rant I threw in a line about how horrible Hunter S. Thompson’s stuff for ESPN was. Being as how Dr. Thompson met his untimely fate recently, I’d like to offer up this: the following people do horrible work for ESPN – Chris Berman, Stuart Scott, Rick Sutcliffe, Rob Neyer, Peter Gammons, Harold Reynolds, Jeff Brantley, John Kruk, anyone remotely related to that Cold Pizza turd, Stephen A. Smith, anyone remotely related to that Mike & Mike Show turd, Joe Theismann, Michael Irvin, anyone remotely related to that Tilt turd, Dick Vitale, Bill Walton.  All of above; please do the honorable thing.  Hint, hint.

 

BB: And Jason Whitlock. And Buster Olney. And Scoop Jackson. God – we could make this entire list our preview.

 

BB: Your 2005 Pirates OPERATION SHUTDOWN watch highlights two Pirate veterans. First, Benito Santiago, who has fallen from the favor of the successful kids and got dumped from one state of depression – Kansas City – to another. I know if I was 40, relatively wealthy, and sane, I wouldn’t want to spend my summer in Pittsburgh catching on balky knees for a 65-win team. On the other hand, we have Jose Mesa – who has a big role on the team (proven veteran closer). He says he is 39 – but his oldest son is 26. Mesa’s strikeout rate is ugly, even for an old man. While he was always scary in the ninth, he is now Pedro-coming-in-in-game-7-of-the-ALCS terrifying. In addition, one of the best relievers in baseball last year, Mike Gonzalez (55 K/6 BB in 43 IP), is waiting in the wings. I am going to go with….Mesa.

 

PR: I am not all about the Mike Gonzalez hype yet. Could be because he was stinky for me in MVP after Pittsburgh abandoned him. And yes, much like Bill and Madden, I am judging a lot of people based on their performances in EA Sports titles. Like if Joel or Benji ever enter the NFL draft – I am all over them.

 

BB: I like to think that Derek Bell is still sitting on his houseboat somewhere, looking into a mirror and convincing himself that he’s a handsome man. He fishes a little, reads the Art of War, and waits for the phone to ring to end Operation Shutdown, now on day 994 or so. After all – Derek Bell is a career .276 hitter (no walks and not too much power – but that’s ok). Derek Bell is a World Series winner (’92 Blue Jays – 1 playoff AB baby). Derek Bell is a proven veteran (he’s surly). Derek Bell has an amazing, amazing agent ($9 million for 2 years from the Pirates – they thought so highly of him as to give him the last $4 million just to go away in 2002). Derek Bell combs his mustache and waits. Relive it with us - http://espn.go.com/mlb/news/2002/0318/1353807.html.

 

ED:  When I was a depressed drunk in my late-teens and early-20’s, I would often put on Lou Reed’s Berlin album to accentuate the entire depressed mindset and stare into the void contemplating the uselessness of my existence.  Kids in Pittsburgh have it lucky.  They can skip freaking out to “The Kids” and just watch Jose Mesa blow a save.

 

BB: As a depressed drunk in his early 20’s, I am (relatively) happy to announce that you can do this yourself in Boston merely by opening a newspaper to the sports section.

 

ED:  How cheesed do you think Craig Wilson is now that Anna Benson won’t be hanging around the locker room?

BB: How much do you think Jack Wilson is regretting THIS headshot? http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/stats?statsId=6693

 

PR: That is so not even the worst head in the National League

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?statsId=6721

 

ED:  If Jose Mesa and Benito Santiago were to fall in love and start a non-conventional family, would this be the greatest marriage ever?  Ideally, a Matt Stairs-Jeremy Giambi marriage would rank really high on my list too, but there’s no way a Santiago-Mesa marriage could be topped – except, of course, by a Bob Wickman-Antonio Alfonseca union, but that’s a different story all together.  I am thinking that Mesa and Santiago would have to somehow adopt older children – maybe like Rafael Furcal or something – so they can have a nice little Veteran Presence family in the suburbs of Pittsburgh.  We would put the family portrait on the site and everything. This is called padding.

 

BB: Would the Wickman-Alfonseca marriage produce a child with six chins? Me, personally, I want to see the Todd Jones-Bobby Estalella relationship come together.

 

PR: I was more wondering if Ed paired Wickman and Alfonseca because Double As extra digits could replace all of Wickman’s missing ligaments. Or some other reason.

 

ED:  Hey, whatever works.

 

ED:  Jack Wilson will be a multiple time All Star thanks to the weak SS pool in the National League.  My money’s on Wilson doing serious jail time for tax evasion after he sells all his All Star trinkets later on in life to support an Iron City habit.

 

BB: He’ll need a lot of drugs to forget that headshot.

 

BB: Poor, poor little Matt Lawton. From the Twins right as they got good to the Mets right as they stopped to the Indians rebuilding to the Pirates…endless mediocrity. At least Bob Higginson got to stay in one spot.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Previous year’s record: 67-94

6th, NL Central

 

 

KEY ADDITIONS

 

KEY LOSSES

OF

Carlos Lee

OF

Scott Podsednik

RP

Ricky Bottalico

RP

Luis Vizcaino

C

Damien Miller

IF

Craig Counsell

P

Jose Capellan

IF

Keith Ginter

RP

Justin Lehr

CL

Danny Kolb

 

 

25th

Brooks Kieschnick

 

 

SP

Dave Burba

RANDOM DIAMOND NOTE
What is falling in place with Ned Yost is a number of envious confluences: the impact of Ricky Bottalico, the arrival of Monster Dennis Sarfate, the return to health of Justin Lehr (scratched thang) and Victor Santos (finger) and the pelican-like intensity of Chad Moeller, which has allowed Doug Melvin to do the opposite of a garage sale where he tries to get rid of all his parts alongside his used fig newtons.

PROJECTED LINEUP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C

Damien Miller

SP

Ben Sheets

1B

Lyle Overbay

SP

Doug Davis

2B

Junior Spivey

SP

Chris Capuano

SS

Bill Hall/JJ Hardy

SP

Victor Santos

3B

Wes Helms/Russ Branyan

SP

Ben Hendrickson

LF

Carlos Lee

MR

Ricky Bottalico

CF

Dave Krynzel/Brady Clark

MR

Gary Glover

RF

Geoff Jenkins

MR

Justin Lehr

 

 

CL

Mike Adams

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BB: Ah, a Padres for 2005, a Lions for baseball. The Brewers.

 

ED:  The fact that the Brewers made some absolute steals in two straight off-season’s is probably a record for them.  Of course the fact that they fleeced Joe Garagiola Jr., John Schuerholz and Kenny Williams probably tarnishes the record some but…Hey!  You take your victories when you get ‘em.

 

BB: Fleecing Garagiola and Williams is just a GMing Rite of Passage. You gotta do it.

 

ED:  At some point in time this summer, a teenage young fella in Milwaukee or the surrounding area will take his girl to a Brewers-Reds or Brewers-Pirates game.  One of those.  Maybe on a Saturday night, maybe a Friday.  Doesn’t matter. She’ll be impressed by his knowledge of Teddy Higuera’s numerous shoulder surgeries.  He’ll sneak them some beer.  Try to get her a little tipsy.  He’ll get all touchy-feely as Russell Branyon K’s again.  She’ll playfully resist.  Junior Spivey will cripple himself once again.  She’ll be as nonplussed as anyone should be when Junior Spivey gets crippled. He’ll be sniffing around like a starved dog about the time Wes Helms hits a meaningless homer in the 9th to get the Brewers back in striking distance.  She’ll smile at him all giddy-like, caught up in the excitement of the possible come back only to be deflated when Geoff Jenkins lines out to end the came.  He’ll take her home, still trying to get at her, thinking she owes him for taking her to the game.  She’ll laugh at him the way a teenage girl laughs at a stupid boy with dumb ideas.  Like a Brewers-Reds or Brewers-Pirates game is gonna get him a piece.  He goes home frustrated, wishing he lived in a more upscale baseball place – like Minnesota.  She’ll dream of becoming Mrs. Lyle Overbay.  The baseball gods are cruel.  This too is called padding.

 

BB: I’m shocked that Ben Gibbard hasn’t written this song yet. Shocked AND disappointed.

 

PR: If Bill can’t get laid after the World Series, John Jacobjingleheimerschmidt ain’t getting no play.

 

ED:  So the almighty question in Milwaukee is: can the Brew Crew get out of the basement this year?  (OK, so the REAL question should be, does fifth place in the NL Central really matter? But you know how cranky sports fans can be.  Not us, of course, but others.)  Well, the Pirates and Reds sure did a good job helping them out – Kenny Williams too. The short answer I would give is probably – there may be enough here to leap over the Pirates.  The long answer is something along the lines of, “What’s the hurry?”

 

BB: Well yeah. I think the Brewers, on the sheer headstrength of Sheets and Davis alone, can get up ahead of the useless Pirates and maybe an injury-prone Reds. There is a legitimate shot this team could be better than the Astros this year if things break right. But two years from now…it won’t even be close.

 

PR: Aww… “break right” Was that to imply that members of the ‘Stros are ancient and brittle?

 

ED:  The Brewers are still exceptionally strong in minor league talent, have no real horrible contracts – other than the bizarre Damian Miller deal – and they clearly show that there is some sort of plan in place to keep the team moving forward.  Add to that the fact that the vile Selig tentacles are finally off the franchise and the future is pretty rosy – just not quite this year.  The Brewers are on the right track, it’s just going to take a while.  Patience li’l Brewer fans.

 

BB: Much like last year, there is lots of juicy trade bait that the Brewers should be able to exploit in July for the pitching prospects they need. Lyle Overbay looks like a nifty Sean Casey clone and…well…the Brewers could probably turn him into Nick Johnson and turn Nick Johnson into something from the Blue Jays or Red Sox. Junior Spivey, if he’s healthy, is better than probably half the majors’ options at second and his career year in 2002 isn’t that far gone. It’s not very hard to imagine the Braves coveting Wes Helms and moving Chipper Jones back to left field when the Jordan/Mondesi Experiment fails miserably. There are lots of possibilities.

 

PR: I believe Bill is trying to see how many times he can hypothesize Nick Johnson getting traded before I snapped and punch him in the face or punch my monitor or punch myself in the jimmy. And while the Braves do love bringing guys back into the fold, I don’t see Wes Helms getting another chance.

 

PR: I will admit that I actually want Danny Kolb to have an amazing year just because the Randy Johnson – dead arm joke is very very stale.

 

BB: I don’t really care how Jose Capellan turns out. The potential of him succeeding and the results that would ensue are more valuable than Danny Kolb. He was a pretty okay closer the last two years, but his strikeout rate (see the Braves section) speaks volumes about his future performance. Capellan, at the very worst, looks like he will become a good relief arm.

 

ED:  The Violent Femmes are from Milwaukee.  I remember being like 18-19 and really digging that first Violent Femmes album. We used to cruise around listening to that far too much.  I still believe it’s the perfect Midwest, teenage, strange-out album – and it was recorded when the Brewers actually had a good team.  I’m certain I couldn’t listen to this now, being as how that time in my life seems like it belongs to someone else.  But I imagine there are still a few Milwaukeeans who listen to that album thinking about Gorman Thomas’ gut and the Paul Molitor’s coke habit, wondering where the time went.  ADD IT UP!  ADD IT UP! This is also padding.

 

BB: And now I’m 20 and I drive around with people and all anyone ever wants to listen to is bad early 80’s dance music and pimp LCD Soundsystem or some other terrible garbage to me. And strangely enough – this part of my life seems itself like it belongs to someone else. And I’ve never even been to Milwaukee.

 

BB: We are saying lots of nice things about the Brewers but they really shouldn’t have given up their first round pick to sign Damian Miller. I mean – signing Miller was a bad idea as is, regardless of what wonderful local flavor he produces (does he sweat bratwurst?). Miller will cease to be a useful player several million dollars before his paycheck stops paying him like he was. It’s not bad like Jason Varitek-bad, but it’s not a good thing.

 

ED:  If you were Ben Sheets, would you cruise around Milwaukee wearing your gold medal? I would.  I’d also walk around the locker room wearing the gold, demanding people call me Sir Ben.  I figure being a complete prick would be my only way of getting out of Milwaukee before my arm flames out.  I suppose beyond that, my only hope would be that Kenny Williams or the Orioles would overpay for me even after I was spent. 

 

BB: God, would I not want to go play in Chicago or Baltimore. Wouldn’t it be better to just be Cal Eldred? What? No? Oh. Um…can he play for the US again? Can you be retired from club baseball?

 

BB: Ben Sheets was amazing last year, but no one noticed, because he played for Milwaukee and had bad luck. That’s not his fault. He struck out 264 batters and walked 32. That’s an 8.25 K/BB ratio. The only 3 guys since 1900 who had that kind of ratio were Pedro Martinez (1999, 8.46 K/BB), Curt Schilling (2001, 7.51 K/BB), and Greg Maddux (1995, 7.87 K/BB). They won 23, 22, and 19 games. Sheets won 12. Hitters hit .226/.255/.383 for a .638 OPS against him last year; that means everyone hit roughly Scott Spiezio or Mike Matheny against him last year. Think about that.  

 

ED: The fact that Russell Branyan and Wes Helms will share the 3B spot does absolutely NOTHING to dispel my belief that they are the same person.

 

BB: If you combined them, you’d have…wow, you’re right Ed. Wow.

 

ED: Number of times the local media laments the loss of Scott Podsednik’s scrap: 400,000.

 

BB: Don’t have to hear it if I don’t try to. Not like they’ll ever be on national TV.

 

BB: The Brewers also have the nifty 25th man experiment going with Brooks Kiesch…they waived him? Aww…you jerks.

 

BB: The Brewers are going to be a very exciting team in a few years. 2005 isn’t really that year, but they have a lot to look forward to, especially offensively.

 

BB: This division’s done. Next?